He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. FREE footy tipping is here! 36 year-old Hastie was born in Wangaratta and spent most of his life in NSW. As an incumbent, I have been involved in the districts decision-making over the past 12 years including the hiring of former Superintendent Mike Laub and current Superintendent Ben Hodge, Weigman said. Any insights. Amanda Hunt, chief executive of Uniting WA, will run as the Labor candidate in Canning. The former Uniting WA chief is the underdog in the race against Mr Hastie after he retained the seat for the Liberals at a by-election in 2015. Canning starts at Armadale and surrounding suburbs in Perth's south-east suburbs, but extends south down the South Western Highway to Waroona and along the Albany Highway to Boddington. Growing up in the outer suburbs of Perth, Ms Hunt said she understood the challenges and opportunities that came with a fast growing region. Randall held Canning for over a decade, winning re-election in 2004, 2007, 2010 and 2013. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Andrew Hastie retains seat held since 2015. Demographically wise, what seat or area would Canning be similar to on the east coast? She said she was focused on community transformation and bridging the gap between excess and poverty. Alfred Canning was a surveyor who surveyed routes for the rabbit-proof fence from Starvation Harbour to Cape Keraudren and stockroutes to bring cattle from the Kimberley district to feed those working the Western Australian goldfields. Canning received a degree from the University of Oregon School of Law. People of Canning need to make a choice between whether they want someone who has come up through the ranks of the political machine and will simply be another complaint cog, or someone who will stand up for them and fight for their issues regardless. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. Andriette du Plessis is an endorsed nurse practitioner and works in general practice and a variety of aged care facilities. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. . Presumably there comes a time when the electorate says now hang on a minute, and the advantage passes to Labor who can oppose what the government is doing without the public accepting that Labor is soft on terror. But now that WAs boom is over, what about labourers? It also includes suburbs of a more semi-rural nature in the Darling Scarp, including the Armadale suburbs of Ashendon, Bedfordale, Karragullen, Lesley, Mount Richon, Roleystone, and Wungong, part of the Gosnells suburb of Martin, and the Kalamunda suburbs of Canning Mills, Carmel, and Pickering Brook. Her latest role was as the Uniting Church chief executive. James Waldeck lives in Mandurah and has provided for his family of six by working in various management and supervisor roles in a multitude of industries. California's early returns are a major drop off from the same period in September's gubernatorial recall election, when nearly 38% of voters had voted as of election eve. Why do we want a former SAS tough guy? Randall's margin was cut by 4% at the 2007 election and shaved further by the 2009 redistribution. Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. Meanwhile, Ms Hunt, who was also previously State director of Mission Australia, says voters in Canning want a Federal Government and a local member who will work in partnership with WA. Since the landslide election in 2018 that swept the populist former mayor of Mexico City and his Morena opposition movement into power, "AMLO" has sought to take his country back into the 20th . Committee Member - MNF Research Advisory Committee, PhD Scholarship - Uncle Isaac Brown Indigenous Scholarship, Associate Lecturer, Creative Writing and Literature. I am honest, ethical, passionate about educating our future generations, and strive to do my personal best in all my endeavors.. 2024 Election Congress PM Candidate Kamal Nath . First Election This Boundary Was Used At: First federal election following the 2019 federal election. Rudd then took it off the agenda and proposed a mining tax which did huge damage to his popularity in the polls. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. I agree he will hold with his margin cut in half. Then the successful leadership challenge from Julia Gillard made the government look unstable. Richard Payerchin covers Lorain City Hall, area schools, business news, features and other interesting stories for The Morning Journal. Animal Justices lead candidate at the 2013 WA Senate election and 2014 WA Senate re-election. Josie's aged care home told her it was about to close, just three weeks after letting her move in, Prime minister denies changes to super accounts over $3m represent broken promise, 'Entirely reasonable' to spend money from super tax changes on expanding parental leave, crossbenchers say, Legal action launched against Queensland mine operator after allegations of fake coal quality reports, Calls for minister to resign over racing boss exit explanation, Queensland Health paid $18m in special leave to workers who did not comply with COVID vaccine mandates, Andrew Hastie former SAS captain holds seat. The Federal election is on Saturday, May 21. It seemed Labor underperformed here compared to WA more generally. His narrow margin in 2001 blew out to 59.5% in 2004, shrinking to 52.2% in 2010 before growing out to 61.8% in 2013. But who are the major candidates gunning for the local seat of Canning? 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status, Sadie Miriam Canning MBE, 19302008. I dont think that Hasties preselection was unplanned. Two candidate preferred (TCP) for Canning (WA) Candidate Party Votes Margin This election (%) Previous election (%) Swing (%) Status; HASTIE, Andrew: Liberal: 55,947: 21,002: 61.55 . I am committed to transparency. Anthony Gardyne said he felt compelled to run for the seat of Canning to restore a free and democratic society. [4], In 2016, the more urbanised areas of the City of Armadale west of the Albany Highway and South Western Highway, together with the suburbs of Mount Nasura and Kelmscott, were redistributed to the new Division of Burt. Area 4,245 sq km Location description The Division of Canning consists of: Mandurah City Council, I was born and raised in Canning, I know the people and the issues. As a kayak enthusiast, he has paddled the Black River, Sandusky Bay and along much of the Lake Erie shoreline in between them. Ms Hunt said she was passionate about creating job security, affordable housing, cheaper childcare, improving the quality of life of aged care residents, and more NDIS support. Canning's drift upwards has been driven partly by boundary changes, the seat being based more in Perth's south-east suburbs when held by Labor in the 1980s and 1990s. He isnt even on the senior frontbench right now so I dont see how he becomes leader after the 2025 election. According to WDs logic everyone will be pm. HAHAHHAHAHAHA Want to put my predictions against yours !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!. Reach the author at rpayerchin@MorningJournal.com or follow Richard on Twitter: @MJ_JournalRick. Alfred Wernam Canning, 18601936. Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties campaigns and the key issues in Canning. @Redistributed Not from WA but my working assumption is something like West Gippsland between Pakenham and the Latrobe Valley, or Ipswich and the Lockyer Valley. ( Map) Background First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Maybe Andrew Hasties hawkish stance on China helped him here. Voters in the Avon School District will pick three school board members from among six candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot. On the coast the electorate also includes Mandurah, Dawesville and most of the Mandurah City Council area. . But interestingly he also mentioned the seat of Canning. Avon is such a wonderful community, and by working with the city, community and collaborating with various groups, like the French Creek Foundation, we can make sure we are growing stronger together, she said. The Liberals are obviously aware of this, and theyve launched a discussion on reducing income tax rates. The landscape of the seat has changed over time, originally being a rural seat, then moving towards southern metropolitan areas and now taking in Mandurah. I feel this seat has potential for a very large swing towards Labor but it wont be enough to unseat Hastie. As of the 2022 election, it includes most of the Peel region, including the City of Mandurah and the Shires of Serpentine-Jarrahdale (including Byford and Mundijong), Murray (including Pinjarra, Yunderup and Dwellingup), and Waroona (including Waroona and Preston Beach). What went wrong for Labor? To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Gerick was defeated narrowly by Liberal candidate Don Randallin 2001. If re-elected he wanted to be a champion for health, prioritise building a pedestrian footbridge for Madora Bay and Lakelands, and bolster economic and job opportunities including in the defence sector. Voters should consider his record of leadership, the districts educational excellence and fiscal responsibility, Weigman said. Candidate profile: John Weigman for Avon School Board, November 2021 The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. But that was a while ago and he hasnt seem to eventuate too much since then. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. Peter van Onselen was on the show Insiders and mentioned four seats in WA that on internal polling are gone for the Liberals on current polling. So Id doubt that his emergence was entirely down to the local party branches. Could have an impact especially if Hastie gets somehow involved in it due to his SAS history. She worked as a community organizer and attorney and was vice chair of the Democratic Party of Oregon Environmental Caucus. Matt Canning, Laura Chonko, Alissa Gault, Greg Pinter, Tara Tatman and John P New Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was elected despite the Liberal margin being halved by a 6.5% swing, the swing attracting less attention given it came after the change of leadership. However, ReachTEL has 80% of preferences from minor parties flowing to Labor, which is not believable. Hopefully he will be toppled since hes essentially another Dutton and is likely the hard rights replacement for Dutton after Dutton loses or retires. And only just of matter months Mactiernan who looked certain to win the seat had her chances evaporated with a snap of a fingers. An executive with Clive Palmers Mineralogy company, he was the Palmer United candidate for Cowan at the 2013 federal election. iN between we will have a labor PM, & historical footnote lib. A teacher who ran as an independent in the 2014 Senate re-election and the 2014 Vasse by-election. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. In 2019, he won the seat by 21,002 votes. The filing deadline for this election was March 9, 2022. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Updated June 22 2016 - 3:56pm, first published 12:23pm. For the early part of its history it was contested between the Liberal Party and the Country Party, and since the 1980s the seat has become much more of a Labor-Liberal marginal seat, usually being held by the party winning government. He was also been an adviser on Operation Sovereign Borders. She worked across many fields, specialising in critical care, emergency, and trauma ICU, before immigrating to Australia in 2002. Expect all the WA seats to have a larger than average swing to Labor the question is how large. Abbott's opponents didn't wait for the by-election, the coup that installed Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister coming in the week before the by-election. Siwes has since established a local cleaning business in the wake of her dismissal. Jamie Van Burgel, Vimal Kumar Sharma and Greg Smith. I believe Andrew Hastie is one of the strongest performers with his conviction on international issues (such as China). To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Election | This ethos eventually led her to a career in law. The 2015 Canning by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives on Saturday 19 September from 8 am to 6 pm WST. I will ensure that Avons focus remains on academics while allocating district educational expenditures wisely, she said. I have both the life experience and work experience from being an army captain with logistics, human resources, strategic planning, negotiation and team leadership that I will apply for the people of Canning. Q: And an FTA will open up the markets for our dairy and meat exporters. However, the Greens seem to be spruiking free dental via Medicare and social housing as two of their major pitches. Hastie was re-elected in 2016 and 2019. Will the we dont want Chinese workers coming over here stealing our jobs argument play a part? Ive dedicated my career to making life better for Western Australian families, and want to continue that work in the Federal Parliament, she said. Vanessa Rauland, with Senators Scott Ludlam and Rachel Siewert is standing for the Greens. I thought there will be more Red around Byford (mortgage belt) and Mandurah north of the estuary. First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Results 1983-2019. From 2010 the votes also include own division pre-poll votes issued as ordinary votes. Teede started her career as a primary school teacher and taught across regional Western Australia before before becoming the Managing Director of the regional TAFE college in the Goldfields-Esperence region. Ive delivered funding for infrastructure and essential services our fast-growing region needs, like the Lakelands Train Station, he said. It cant draw on a broader narrative that includes the economy and voters hip-pockets. 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